{"id":1313087,"date":"2019-08-01T18:04:00","date_gmt":"2019-08-02T00:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.postindependent.com\/will-column-the-democrats-and-the-1919-world-series\/"},"modified":"2019-08-01T18:04:00","modified_gmt":"2019-08-02T00:04:00","slug":"will-column-the-democrats-and-the-1919-world-series","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/local-news\/will-column-the-democrats-and-the-1919-world-series\/","title":{"rendered":"Will column: The Democrats and the 1919 World Series"},"content":{"rendered":"
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WASHINGTON \u2014 Watching Democratic presidential aspirants is like watching, a century ago, the 1919 World Series, when discerning spectators thought: Some of the White Sox are trying to lose. Michael Boskin, chairman of President George H.W. Bush\u2019s Council of Economic Advisers and currently at Stanford\u2019s Hoover Institution, pays the Democrats the injurious compliment of taking seriously their aspirations, which are characterized by a disqualifying flippancy. For example:<\/p>\n

Medicare for All is popular (when depriving 217 million people of their private insurance goes unmentioned) because, Boskin notes, under Medicare today \u201cmost of its costs are paid by taxpayers, not the beneficiaries themselves. But if it covers everybody, there will be no one outside the system to subsidize the recipients.\u201d This will mean \u201cmuch larger, politically determined taxes and cross-subsidies,\u201d and rationing of health care as in Canada and Europe \u201cwhere long waits are the rule.\u201d Sen. Bernie Sanders\u2019 plan promises no co-pays, no deductibles and no premiums, so pricing medical care at zero will produce a surge in demand for services from a Medicare system that already \u201cfaces unfunded liabilities more than twice the national debt\u201d ($22 trillion). And the Part A Hospital Insurance Fund \u201cwon\u2019t be able to pay all its bills in a few years.\u201d And: \u201cCurrent Medicare, with its low reimbursement rates, would be unsustainable without the large role played by the higher-paying private (primarily employer-based) plans in keeping doctors and hospitals in business.\u201d<\/p>\n

Democratic promises include a $1,000 per month universal basic income, $1,000 \u201cbaby bonds\u201d for every newborn, plus up to $2,000 per year until non-wealthly babies are 18, free universal preschool and community college (perhaps four-year colleges, too), expanded child-care subsidies, rent subsidies (which will increase demand for, thereby increasing the cost of, rental units), complete forgiveness of $1.6 trillion of student debt, and on and on.<\/p>\n

Boskin notes that the Social Security 2100 Act, which has 210 Democratic co-sponsors, would pay for the largest benefits expansion since 1972 by raising the payroll tax almost 20% to 14.8%, and uncapping the maximum earnings subject to the tax. Then add the promised 70% top income tax rate, a 3% wealth tax, a financial transactions tax, a one-third increase in the corporate rate and increased taxation of capital gains. Boskin says the 70% rate, \u201can average 7% top state personal tax rate,\u201d and the 14.8% payroll tax by themselves would mean \u201ca 91.8% marginal tax rate.\u201d And even this would not come close to paying for the Democrats\u2019 promised spending explosion.<\/p>\n

Being scientifically as well as numerically illiterate, some Democratic candidates have embraced the Green New Deal\u2019s promise to eliminate greenhouse gas emissions from American agriculture, which is essential to feeding the world\u2019s 7.5 billion people. Boskin says this:<\/p>\n

Fossil fuels are essential to tillage, transportation, grain drying, manufacturing fertilizer, pesticides, farm equipment and farm electricity. Fertilizers increase U.S. wheat and corn yields 70% and more than 100%, respectively. President George W. Bush\u2019s greatly increased ethanol mandates for vehicle fuels caused a decline in food crop acreage, which caused a 20% to 40% increase in corn prices, which increased hunger in corn-importing countries (e.g., Mexico, Egypt and in sub-Saharan Africa).<\/p>\n

Various candidates have embraced the Green New Deal\u2019s \u201caspirational\u201d objective of making America\u2019s approximately 100 million buildings fully energy efficient in 10 years. Boskin: \u201cThat would require retrofitting well over 4,000 buildings an hour for 12 years (almost 2,000 per hour for 15 years for Joe Biden\u2019s \u2018retrofit 50 percent\u2019 plan).\u201d However, \u201cjust installing solar in a typical home takes two to three months on average.\u201d<\/p>\n

The \u201cparty of science,\u201d as Democrats advertise themselves, is not the party of arithmetic. Many Democrats, however, think budgetary arithmetic has been rendered irrelevant by \u201cmodern monetary theory,\u201d which says:<\/p>\n

A government that controls its money supply need never run short of it, and spending can substantially surpass government revenues as long as interest rates remain low. So, government, especially if it can strongly influence interest rates, is largely liberated from the essence of the human condition: scarcity. Hence everything is affordable. Republicans ridicule this while practicing it. The recent bipartisan budget deal increases spending $320 billion over two years, which USA Today notes is, on an annualized basis, much bigger than Barack Obama\u2019s 10-year stimulus package of about $800 billion.<\/p>\n

Perhaps 2019 is 1919 with both parties being the White Sox, some of whom tried to lose that year\u2019s World Series, and did. Unfortunately, in 2020 both parties cannot succeed at failing.<\/p>\n

George Will\u2019s email address is georgewill@washpost.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

via:: Post Independent<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WASHINGTON \u2014 Watching Democratic presidential aspirants is like watching, a century ago, the 1919 World Series, when discerning spectators thought: Some of the White Sox are trying to lose. Michael Boskin, chairman of President George H.W. Bush\u2019s Council of Economic Advisers and currently at Stanford\u2019s Hoover Institution, pays the Democrats the injurious compliment of taking […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[160],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1313087","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-local-news"},"acf":[],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-06-21 15:57:43","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"distributor_meta":false,"distributor_terms":false,"distributor_media":false,"distributor_original_site_name":"KSKE Ski Country","distributor_original_site_url":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske","push-errors":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1313087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313087\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1313087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1313087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alwaysmountaintime.com\/kske\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1313087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}